هل تغير اتجاه سوق التوقعات؟ سيتم حظر تداول المسؤولين الحكوميين

【Blockchain Velocity】Tarek Mansour, Chief Executive Officer of prediction market platform Kalshi, recently claimed on social media to support a new legislative proposal. The “Financial Prediction Market Public Integrity Act of 2026,” led by New York Democratic Representative Ritchie Torres, has straightforward core content—prohibiting federal elected officials, political appointees, and administrative department employees from trading on prediction markets when they possess non-public transaction information.

In other words, if you are a government official, you cannot exploit your position to engage in insider trading. Mansour also pointed out a key detail in his comments: recent exposed insider trading incidents were primarily concentrated on unregulated offshore platforms. The implication is that compliant platforms like Kalshi that accept regulation have become the “good actors.”

Although this legislative proposal appears to be a constraint on government officials, it reflects the entire prediction market industry’s desire for standardization. As prediction markets receive increasing attention, the improvement of regulatory frameworks has become an inevitable trend. For industry participants, this presents both challenges and opportunities—platforms operating in compliance are expected to gain more trust and development space.