#我的2026第一条帖 Bitcoin regained the 90k level, Ethereum rebounded above 3100, but tonight's non-farm payroll is the real test!

Bitcoin reclaimed the 90k mark, Ethereum bounced back above 3100, benefiting from renewed calls by Federal Reserve officials for significant rate cuts to ease market selling pressure! However, tonight's non-farm payroll report is the key focus! Both Bitcoin's 90k level and Ethereum's 3000 level will face critical tests!

Last night, the US weekly initial jobless claims data came in below expectations, causing cryptocurrencies to continue trending weakly with slight declines during the session. Bitcoin dropped to a low of 89,200, while Ethereum temporarily pulled back to around 3,050, erasing early-week gains. However, in the evening, US Treasury Secretary Bessent strongly expressed the government's desire to lower interest rates and urged the Fed to cut rates further. Meanwhile, Fed official Mian once again called for a 150 basis point rate cut in 2026 to boost employment. These relevant statements reinforced rate-cut expectations, causing Bitcoin to rally sharply and break through the 90,000 level, continuing higher to above 91,000 in the early morning hours. Ethereum also recovered to above 3,100.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin price found support at the daily midline and rebounded, though the RSI indicator shows a bearish death cross. However, the four-hour RSI flipped upward from oversold territory, and MACD bearish momentum is contracting. The hourly level shows weakening rebound momentum, suggesting intraday prices may experience short-term rebound and consolidation, but note the depth of pullback adjustments in this weakening scenario. Bitcoin's near-term resistance levels to watch today are at the four-hour midline of 92,000 and 93,000, while short-term support remains at the 90,000 mark and the 89,000 zone.

Ethereum similarly showed weak bearish decline yesterday, and after testing near 3,050 last night, it rebounded quickly back above 3,100, though early this morning it failed to extend gains, reaching only around 3,140 at its peak. From a technical standpoint, the daily midline at 3,050 continues to provide support for rebounds, but RSI and MACD indicate bearish dominance. While the four-hour chart shows signs of contracting pullback consolidation, the hourly level performance is poor. Today, pay attention to pullback consolidation situations, with 3,050 being a key short-term support area to monitor, and of course the 3,000 level as well. For resistance above, focus on the hourly upper band at 3,160 and the four-hour midline at 3,200. Should buying pressure drive stronger rebound momentum, it could test the 3,230-3,250 zone.

Today during regular trading hours, first pay attention to the rebound consolidation situation, with the real focus being tonight's US non-farm payroll report. The non-farm data will directly impact market movements when released.