#美国贸易赤字状况 Black Friday's market action has indeed been fierce — BTC broke below 90,000 USD yesterday, and longs took a heavy hit. The turning point came from Federal Reserve officials' statements signaling 150 basis points of rate cuts in 2026, which directly sparked a strong rally and recovered most of the lost ground.
Today's key focus is the non-farm payroll data. If the unemployment rate exceeds 4.7% or job creation significantly misses expectations, the probability of a January rate cut will rise noticeably. This should provide sufficient momentum for subsequent rally movements.
From the daily chart perspective, as long as the support level holds, we should see a correction to positive after three down candles, meaning the adjustment cycle is essentially complete. Following the early-month strategy, the larger timeframe is still targeting the psychological level of 100,000 USD, with the timing window possibly coming after rate cuts are implemented.
Trading References: $BTC accumulate long positions on dips near 90,500 and 90,000, targeting the 93,000-94,000 range $ETH can follow longs near 3,100 and 3,050, targeting 3,200-3,260 levels $SOL monitor market sentiment changes in sync
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GweiObserver
· 4jam yang lalu
Malam sebelum Non-Farm Payrolls masih bingung mau ngejar atau tidak, setelah melihat analisis ini memang cukup jelas... Jadi tunggu saja data yang berbicara, mau tidaknya langsung taruhan besar tergantung apakah Federal Reserve memberi sinyal yang kuat atau tidak
Lihat AsliBalas0
MergeConflict
· 01-09 03:30
Black Friday ini memang mengalami penurunan yang cukup tajam, tetapi karena Federal Reserve memberi sinyal pemotongan suku bunga sebesar 150 basis poin, mari kita tunggu data non-pertanian untuk membuktikannya.
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SchrodingerWallet
· 01-09 03:23
Sinyal penurunan suku bunga dari Federal Reserve ini langsung menyelamatkan situasi, kalau tidak, penurunan kemarin benar-benar cukup menakutkan
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ProposalManiac
· 01-09 03:22
Kerentan logika ini cukup banyak — hanya dengan satu kalimat dari Federal Reserve saja sudah menentukan arah, desain mekanismenya terlalu kasar, dalam sejarah, tren yang didorong oleh sinyal tunggal seperti ini sering berbalik arah.
Lihat AsliBalas0
OnchainDetective
· 01-09 03:14
Black Friday ini benar-benar brutal, tapi pernyataan Federal Reserve langsung menyelamatkan suasana, begitu ekspektasi penurunan suku bunga muncul, para bullish langsung bangkit.
#美国贸易赤字状况 Black Friday's market action has indeed been fierce — BTC broke below 90,000 USD yesterday, and longs took a heavy hit. The turning point came from Federal Reserve officials' statements signaling 150 basis points of rate cuts in 2026, which directly sparked a strong rally and recovered most of the lost ground.
Today's key focus is the non-farm payroll data. If the unemployment rate exceeds 4.7% or job creation significantly misses expectations, the probability of a January rate cut will rise noticeably. This should provide sufficient momentum for subsequent rally movements.
From the daily chart perspective, as long as the support level holds, we should see a correction to positive after three down candles, meaning the adjustment cycle is essentially complete. Following the early-month strategy, the larger timeframe is still targeting the psychological level of 100,000 USD, with the timing window possibly coming after rate cuts are implemented.
Trading References:
$BTC accumulate long positions on dips near 90,500 and 90,000, targeting the 93,000-94,000 range
$ETH can follow longs near 3,100 and 3,050, targeting 3,200-3,260 levels
$SOL monitor market sentiment changes in sync