Beijing Time January 9, 21:30 - US December Non-Farm Payroll Report Release
Market expectations: Approximately 60,000 new jobs added (previous: 64,000), unemployment rate may decline to 4.5%; ADP data preview shows only 41,000 new jobs, falling short of expectations, suggesting weakness in the employment market.
Core Impact Logic: The "difference" between data and expectations is key — weaker than expected will strengthen Fed rate-cut expectations, bearish for USD and bullish for gold; stronger than expected will suppress rate-cut expectations, pressuring gold.
Bitcoin Wave Layout: Consider shorting in the 91500-92000 range; target 89600-87800 on the downside
Ethereum Synchronized Shorting: Short in the 3160-3190 range; target 3100-3000 on the downside
Retail Traders Note: Focus on the data vs. expectations differential, position after NFP release following momentum, avoid premature entry, strictly enforce risk management.
Beijing Time January 9, 21:30 - US December Non-Farm Payroll Report Release
Market expectations: Approximately 60,000 new jobs added (previous: 64,000), unemployment rate may decline to 4.5%; ADP data preview shows only 41,000 new jobs, falling short of expectations, suggesting weakness in the employment market.
Core Impact Logic: The "difference" between data and expectations is key — weaker than expected will strengthen Fed rate-cut expectations, bearish for USD and bullish for gold; stronger than expected will suppress rate-cut expectations, pressuring gold.
Bitcoin Wave Layout: Consider shorting in the 91500-92000 range; target 89600-87800 on the downside
Ethereum Synchronized Shorting: Short in the 3160-3190 range; target 3100-3000 on the downside
Retail Traders Note: Focus on the data vs. expectations differential, position after NFP release following momentum, avoid premature entry, strictly enforce risk management.