#2026年比特币价格展望 Non-farm payroll data drops tonight – Bitcoin's 90K level faces the real test
Tonight marks the release of the first non-farm employment report of 2026 (December data). How significant is this data? It's a key predictive indicator ahead of the Federal Reserve's January rate decision meeting, directly determining whether Bitcoin rises or falls next.
The logic chain is actually straightforward:
If employment data beats expectations → signals strong US economic resilience → central bank raises rate expectations → dollar appreciates, capital flows back, BTC faces major selling pressure at the 90K level;
If employment data weakens → increases likelihood of rate cuts → market liquidity loosens → coin price may break through the 94K resistance line;
Data meets expectations → volatility may be digested, focus shifts to subsequent CPI data.
But there's a key point easily overlooked: wage growth momentum tends to sway markets more than pure job addition numbers. Once wage data beats expectations, it can easily trigger large contract liquidations, amplifying short-term volatility several times over.
Bitcoin is currently oscillating around the 90K level. Non-farm data is essentially the watershed moment in this tug-of-war, and institutions are already positioning to reduce exposure.
Trading suggestions: Don't stack excessive leverage, remember to set stop-loss orders, and abandon the idea of betting an entire long-term trend on a single data point.
#2026年比特币价格展望 Non-farm payroll data drops tonight – Bitcoin's 90K level faces the real test
Tonight marks the release of the first non-farm employment report of 2026 (December data). How significant is this data? It's a key predictive indicator ahead of the Federal Reserve's January rate decision meeting, directly determining whether Bitcoin rises or falls next.
The logic chain is actually straightforward:
If employment data beats expectations → signals strong US economic resilience → central bank raises rate expectations → dollar appreciates, capital flows back, BTC faces major selling pressure at the 90K level;
If employment data weakens → increases likelihood of rate cuts → market liquidity loosens → coin price may break through the 94K resistance line;
Data meets expectations → volatility may be digested, focus shifts to subsequent CPI data.
But there's a key point easily overlooked: wage growth momentum tends to sway markets more than pure job addition numbers. Once wage data beats expectations, it can easily trigger large contract liquidations, amplifying short-term volatility several times over.
Bitcoin is currently oscillating around the 90K level. Non-farm data is essentially the watershed moment in this tug-of-war, and institutions are already positioning to reduce exposure.
Trading suggestions: Don't stack excessive leverage, remember to set stop-loss orders, and abandon the idea of betting an entire long-term trend on a single data point.