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Interest Rate Cut Script: Market Celebration, or Plot Twist?

Powell's recent rhetoric sounds like he's hosting a "soft rock" concert: the tone is gentle, the pitch is low, leading the market to start imagining that "rate cuts are about to make an appearance." But investors should be cautious not to mistake the prelude for the climax.

Interest rate cuts mean cheaper financing, breathing room for businesses, and stronger incentives for investors to leverage. However, if economic data does not cooperate, and inflation continues to linger on stage, the Federal Reserve can switch back to "hawkish hard rock" at any time. Market sentiment cannot withstand frequent tuning.

The cryptocurrency market is the first group to follow the trend. As soon as Bitcoin hears about the expectation of interest rate cuts, it immediately stands up and twists its waist, as if it has already reserved a liquidity feast. But let's not forget that historical experience tells us that interest rate cut cycles are often accompanied by expectations of economic recession. When it really comes to that point, assets may be happy in the short term, but in the long term, there could be hidden dangers.

One-sentence comment: The expectation of interest rate cuts is like disco lights in a dance floor – dazzling to the eyes, but don't forget, the switch is still in Powell's hands.