Good afternoon, my fren fans. Today I will share my views on the following three coins. I will be live streaming every night at 21:30. The previous live stream was reported, and I have now switched to this account.

Bitcoin $115,599, Ethereum $4,540, SOL $238.92. The three major coins are all at critical technical positions, market divergence is intensifying, and volatility risk is increasing. As a trader who has experienced multiple rounds of bull and bear markets, I believe that this is not the time to blindly chase prices, but rather a time to patiently wait for the market to provide a clear direction.
Technical Indicator Insight: MACD Issues Divergence Signal
From the MACD indicator perspective, the short-term trends of the three major coins show significant divergence. Although the MACD for Bitcoin at the daily level still maintains a golden cross, the momentum has clearly weakened, and there are signs of a top divergence, which is not a positive signal. For day traders, this typically means that it is necessary to reduce long positions, and at the very least, one should not increase positions at the current level.
The daily MACD of Ethereum still has some upward momentum, but if we look at the shorter 2-hour chart, we will find that the momentum has begun to weaken. This divergence in momentum between different time frames often indicates that the price may enter a consolidation or retracement phase.
The situation with SOL is the most obvious. After a recent strong rise, the price has significantly deviated from the long-term moving average system. Although the MACD is at a high level, the momentum continues to weaken, indicating severe short-term overbought conditions. From a trader's perspective, this is usually a precursor to a technical correction.
Weekly pattern: still optimistic in the medium to long term but need to be wary of short-term risks
Switching to the weekly chart, we can see a different picture. The overall upward trend of Bitcoin remains intact, with the key resistance area being $116,000-$117,200. If this area can be effectively broken through, it will open up new upward space, but before the breakout, we should pay more attention to the risk of a pullback.
Ethereum's weekly chart needs to break through the resistance zone around $4536.
The trend on the weekly level for SOL has not changed, with $206 being an important medium-term support level. On-chain data shows that the trapped chips above have been digested quite sufficiently, providing support for the medium to long-term trend. However, even so, the risk of a short-term technical pullback cannot be ignored.
Intraday trading strategy: prioritize stability and avoid blind trading.
Bitcoin Operation Suggestions
The current position of 115,599 USD is close to the resistance area of 116,000-117,200 USD, and it is not recommended to chase long positions at this level. Aggressive traders may consider lightly shorting in the 116,000-117,200 range, with a stop-loss set above 117,500 USD, targeting the 114,000-113,000 USD range. Conservative traders are advised to wait and see, waiting for the price to either break through 117,200 USD to confirm strength or pull back to the 111,500-113,000 support area before considering going long.
Ethereum Operation Suggestions
The price of 4540 USD is currently near the key resistance level of 4,536 USD, and the direction is unclear. It is recommended to wait and see for now, either for the price to break through the 4536-4584 resistance zone with increased volume, or to pull back to the 4300-4387 support area before making a decision. Staying patient is the best strategy until the direction is clear.
SOL operation suggestions
Given the serious short-term overbought condition, it is not recommended to chase long positions at the current level of $238.92. Aggressive traders may consider lightly shorting in the range of $222-224, with a stop loss set above $230 and a target looking towards the $215-208 range. It is important to note that SOL is highly volatile, so position management should be more cautious.
Best Timing for Spot Investors to Position Themselves
For spot investors, my advice is: better to miss out than to make a mistake. The market always has opportunities, and there is no need to rush in when prices are high.
It is best to wait for Bitcoin spot purchases to pull back to the support range of $111,500-113,000 for a phased layout. The ideal spot entry area for Ethereum is between $4,300-4,387. SOL requires a deeper pullback before considering entry, with the $206-215 range being a relatively safe spot purchase position.
Remember, spot investment does not require chasing the lowest point to buy, but rather building positions in batches at relatively safe price levels and holding for the long term. In the current market environment, patiently waiting for a pullback is far wiser than chasing highs.

Risk Warning and Position Management
The current market volatility has significantly increased, making risk management more important than ever. It is recommended that the risk of a single trade does not exceed 2% of the total funds, and the intraday trading position should not be too heavy. At the same time, closely monitor the overall trend of Bitcoin, as it serves as a barometer for the market, and large fluctuations in Bitcoin often lead to corresponding movements in other coins.
The sentiment of traditional financial markets and macro policy news may also impact the cryptocurrency market. Traders are advised to closely monitor the dynamics of the peripheral markets, especially the performance after the opening of the US stock market.
Summary: As an experienced trader, I believe that in the current market environment, patience is more important than courage. Waiting for key levels to break through or pull back is far more prudent than trading blindly at mid-prices. Remember, the market is always there, and opportunities will continuously arise; protecting your principal is essential for long-term survival in the market. #SOL价格预测 #GUSD双重收益 #DOGE ETF上市