#美联储降息预期升温 #Gate广场创作点亮中秋

The countdown to the Fed's interest rate cut is on, and ETH is set to welcome the biggest certain market in 2025!
The weekend is here! ETH is directly performing again, a true seasoned actor. First, it surged to 4768, then it switched to a dive mode, crashing back to around 4600—this plot, aren't the old players in the crypto world more than familiar with it? But don't rush, this drop is not the end-of-the-world celebration, but rather the calm before the storm! This Thursday at 2 AM (Beijing time on the 17th), the Federal Reserve is going to drop a bomb: interest rate cuts! Once the money printing machine starts, and the faucet is turned on, real cash will flow in rapidly. But here comes the question: will it rise beforehand, or after it lands? The answer determines whether you feast or just sip the soup!
Market Sentiment: Fear or Greed? The Data Speaks!
Don't be fooled by the price drop; the funding rate hasn't collapsed, what does this indicate? The big players haven't fled; it's just the retail investors panicking and making indiscriminate moves! The latest data shows that the open interest for ETH contracts remains high, and the net outflow from exchanges has increased—large funds are secretly bottom-fishing, just waiting for the Fed's signal. This wave of correction is a typical shakeout, shedding weak hands, and only by lightening the load can we rally more strongly!
Today's direction: oscillation and accumulation before interest rate cuts, and a high probability of a surge after the cuts! Don't be scared by short-term fluctuations; if the direction is right, the rest is just lying down to win!
Operational Logic: Why Does the Script for a Drop Not Exist?
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is not an ordinary good news; it is a switch for global liquidity! Historical data shows that after a rate cut, funds first rush into two types of assets: US stocks and cryptocurrencies. As the leader of the ecosystem, ETH will undoubtedly be a main player. The logic chain is very simple:
1. Interest rate cut = US dollar depreciation → Funds seek high-yield assets → Cryptocurrency market benefits;
2. Expected implementation ≠ good news fully priced in → Actual capital inflow takes time → Market continuity is stronger;
3. Institutional布局已启动——BlackRock and Fidelity's ETH spot ETF applications are just one step away, with interest rate cuts + dual core drivers from ETFs, how can the market be poor?
Short-term strategy: support, resistance, and watershed, all in one article!
Support levels: 4580 (strong intraday support), 4520 (pullback limit, breaking this would indicate a short-term bearish trend);
Resistance levels: 4680 (breakthrough confirms rebound), 4760 (if previous high is broken, accelerate to 4850+);
Watershed: 4680! Holding above here is all a bullish territory, breaking below requires cautious stop-loss;
Operation Suggestions:
Radicals: Buy in batches near 4600, stop loss at 4580, target 4680-4760;
Steady faction: Break through 4680 to add positions, pull back to 4620 to replenish, stop loss at 4580;
Survival Tips: Never hold a single position! Volatility increases before interest rate cuts, keep your position control within 50%, and leave enough bullets to respond to emergencies!
Making money in the crypto world doesn't rely on predicting the next second, but on seeing the big trends! This wave of interest rate cuts is the biggest certainty market for 2025. Did ETH fall below 4600? That's your chance to get on board! Remember: the direction of the flow is always upward, you just need to find the right boat and hold onto the oars!