Recently, SOL (Solana) has shown a significant rebound upward trend in the 4-hour K-line cycle.

The price trend is accompanied by a strong K-line pattern and an expansion of trading volume, combined with multiple technical indicators signaling a bullish trend, collectively reflecting the current market's transition between bullish and bearish forces, and a strong upward momentum in the short term. From a temporal perspective, as of the observation point, the price of SOL has increased significantly compared to the period of October 1, 2025, at 00:00:00, and the upward momentum continues. Not only has it rebounded significantly from the price level of September 30, 2025, at 08:00:00, but it has also successfully broken through the phase high formed on September 29, 2025, at 20:00:00, achieving an effective breakthrough of the previous resistance level. The short-term upward trend is quite clear, with no significant signs of retracement.
In terms of K-line patterns, a typical bullish pattern called "large bullish candle" has appeared in this 4-hour period. The large bullish candle usually has a long body and short (or almost non-existent) upper and lower shadows, with the closing price significantly higher than the opening price. This indicates a sudden eruption of bullish forces in the market, completely taking control of the price dynamics, and serves as a strong signal for a trend reversal or accelerated upward movement. At the same time, the last closing K-line in this period also ended with a bullish candle, with the closing price significantly greater than the opening price, further reinforcing the market atmosphere dominated by bulls. This also provides a structural basis for the subsequent price continuation, suggesting that the risk of price correction in the short term is low, and the upward momentum is strong.
In terms of trading activity, the fluctuation in trading volume within the 4-hour K-line period forms a perfect linkage with the price trend, presenting a healthy characteristic of "synchronous rise in volume and price." Data shows that the current trading volume of SOL has significantly increased compared to the previous few hours and is showing a gradually expanding trend. This change in volume is a direct reflection of active market trading: on one hand, the bulls have a strong willingness to enter the market after the price breakout, with buying pressure continually pushing the price further upward; on the other hand, although some positions from earlier phases have been closed during the price increase, the overall selling pressure is far less than the buying momentum, tilting the supply-demand relationship in favor of the bulls. Against this backdrop, the price is likely to maintain strong fluctuations or continue to rise in the short term. If the subsequent volume continues to align, the upward space is expected to further open up.
From the perspective of core technical indicators, the signals conveyed by different indicators corroborate each other and collectively point to a short-term bullish market trend. In terms of the MACD indicator, although the current market does not show a clear long-term trend direction and is in a "no obvious trend" state, the performance of the MACD histogram releases a key turning signal — the histogram has shifted from the previous negative value range to the positive value range. This "change from negative to positive" indicates that the buying power in the market is beginning to rise and gradually suppressing the selling power, with the characteristics of the bulls becoming significant. The short-term price upward momentum is supported by technical factors, further enhancing the sustainability of the upward trend.
Regarding the KDJ indicator, there has not been a typical KDJ golden cross (the short-term moving average crossing above the long-term moving average, considered a bullish signal) or a KDJ death cross (the short-term moving average crossing below the long-term moving average, considered a bearish signal) pattern in the current 4-hour cycle. The indicator lacks clear trend reversal guidance, but the current KDJ value is 17, which is in the "oversold" range (typically, the KDJ indicator ranges from 0-100, with values below 20 indicating oversold conditions). The oversold state indicates that the selling pressure during the previous price decline has been excessively released, and there is a strong demand for a rebound in the market. The current price increase is a correction of the oversold condition, and in the short term, the bulls still have enough strength to push the price to continue rising, as the rebound momentum after being oversold has not yet been completely exhausted.
In terms of the moving average system, at the two key time points of October 1, 2025, 04:00:00 and October 1, 2025, 08:00:00, the value of MA10 (10-period moving average, reflecting short-term price trends) is greater than the value of MA30 (30-period moving average, reflecting medium-term price trends). This "MA10 crossing above MA30" arrangement is a typical short-term bullish structure, which theoretically can provide strong support for prices. Combined with the current upward trend of SOL and the bullish market atmosphere, the supporting role of the moving average system has fully manifested, with prices consistently running above MA10 and gradually distancing from the moving average position. The short-term trend resonates with the medium-term moving average structure, further consolidating the market's bullish sentiment and giving investors more confidence in the subsequent trend.
In addition, during this 4-hour period, there were also features of "price breakout" and "gap up": the price broke through the previous high (the high of September 29, 2025, at 20:00:00), breaking the previous range limit, opening up space for subsequent increases; while the gap up means that the opening price is directly higher than the previous period's closing price, and there was no filling of the gap during the session, reflecting the market's strong bullish expectations for SOL, with minimal divergence between bulls and bears within the gap area, further confirming the strong momentum for a short-term increase. At the same time, the continuous expansion of trading volume also intuitively reflects the characteristic of "strong buying", with buying power becoming the core driving force behind the price rise.
Based on the price trends, candlestick patterns, trading volume changes, and various technical indicators analyzed over the 4-hour K-line period, the Lao Ma analysis team has provided targeted trading point references for SOL, offering a clear decision-making framework for investors with different strategies. In terms of buy point planning, two key reference levels have been set: Buy Point One is 199.86, which corresponds exactly to the recent market's interim low point and serves as the starting point for this upward trend, possessing strong support attributes. If the price retraces to this range and shows signs of halting the decline (such as a small bullish candle or a doji), it can be viewed as a short-term buying opportunity with relatively low risk; Buy Point Two is 200.0, which is also the core support level in the recent market. There have been multiple instances of buying support near this price point, and the psychological support effect of the round number is strong, making it suitable for investors with a medium risk appetite seeking stable entry opportunities. It is necessary to wait for the price to confirm effective support at this level before considering entry.
For investors adopting a long strategy, risk control is equally critical. The current suggested stop-loss point for going long is 198.86, which is below the recent low point (199.86), categorized as a "breakout stop-loss" setting. The core logic is that 199.86 is the starting support for this rally. If the price falls below 198.86, it means that the short-term support has completely failed, and the upward trend may reverse. Timely stop-loss can effectively avoid subsequent pullback risks and prevent losses from widening due to a trend change.
In the planning of sell points, two target levels have been set: sell point one is 217.75, which corresponds to the recent market's peak point. When the price rises to this range, it will face dual pressures from the previous trapped selling and short-term profit-taking, making it difficult to continue rising. Therefore, it is a reasonable reference for taking profits; sell point two is 216.0, which is also the core resistance level of the recent market. It is close to sell point one but slightly lower, mainly considering that the price may not reach 217.75 precisely and may experience a pullback. Setting this level can help investors realize profits more flexibly, avoiding the missed profit-taking opportunity due to the pursuit of an extreme high point, while also locking in part of the profits in advance.
For investors adopting short-selling strategies, the corresponding short-selling stop-loss point is set at 218.84, which is higher than the recent high point (217.75). The reasoning behind this setting is that 217.75 is the current upper limit of pressure for the short-term rise. If the price breaks through 218.84, it indicates that the bullish forces have further strengthened, the short-term upward trend will continue, and the logic for short-selling will be completely invalidated. Setting the stop-loss allows avoiding losses caused by the continuation of the trend, while also enabling timely adjustments to strategies to cope with potential further upward movements.
In addition, based on the summary of key price levels in the market, the recent core support level for SOL is focused at 200.0, while the core resistance level is concentrated at 216.0. The recent high and low points are 217.75 and 199.86, respectively. These key price levels together form the price fluctuation range within the current 4-hour K-line period (199.86-217.75). Investors need to pay special attention to the volume and pattern changes near these points in actual trading — if the price approaches the support level with increased trading volume and shows a stop-loss pattern, it may be appropriate to add positions for a long; conversely, if the price approaches the resistance level with shrinking trading volume and shows a bearish pattern (such as a shooting star or small bearish candle), it may be wise to consider reducing positions or taking profits. At the same time, strategies should be dynamically adjusted based on real-time market conditions to avoid rigid adherence to fixed points, ensuring operations are more aligned with actual market trends, while seizing opportunities for upward movement and controlling trading risks.