Analysis of the Influence Mechanism of the U.S. Federal Government


Data loss causes policy uncertainty
The shutdown of the Labor Statistics Bureau and others has led to interruptions in employment and inflation data, making it difficult for the market to gauge the pace of the Fed's interest rate cuts, and sentiment has turned cautious.
Safe-haven assets attract capital favor.
Gold continues to strengthen as a traditional safe-haven asset, while the weakening of the US dollar index further drives up gold prices.
Cryptocurrency differentiation
Bitcoin: It has both characteristics of a risky asset and digital gold, showing resilience in the short term. If the standstill continues, tight liquidity may limit its price increase.
Ethereum and altcoins: More dependent on ETF approvals and regulatory frameworks for progress, with the standstill causing delays in expected capital inflows and greater volatility.
Duration determines the depth of impact
If the halt is short (a few days to 1-2 weeks), the market may consider it a short-term disturbance; if it exceeds 10 days, the probability of a decline in the US stock market increases, and the pressure on the high-risk segment of cryptocurrency intensifies.

Still hold my own views, long-term layout of short positions. Although there is a short-term risk aversion increase, what about next week? The week after next? #GatePerpDEX正式上线
ETH0.87%
BTC0.68%
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