AiCoin Daily Report (October 14)

1. The probability of the Fed lowering interest rates in October rises to 96.7%.

According to CME's "Fed Watch" data, as of October 14, the probability of the Fed lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in October is 96.7%, while the probability of maintaining the rate is 3.3%. - Original text

2. Trump is reported to indirectly hold $870 million in Bitcoin.

Forbes reported that former U.S. President Trump indirectly owns about $870 million in Bitcoin through his 41% stake in Trump Media & Technology Group, making him one of the largest private Bitcoin holders in the world. -Original text

3. Fed's Paulson tends to gradually cut interest rates within the year.

On October 14, Fed Chairman Powell expressed a preference for gradually lowering interest rates within this year and continuing into next year. He emphasized that the risks in the labor market should be the primary focus of monetary policy, while also noting that the impact of tariffs on inflation is smaller than expected and is not anticipated to trigger a sustained increase.

4. The U.S. government has been in a shutdown for the 13th day, and the deadlock continues.

The U.S. government shutdown has entered its 13th day, with House Minority Leader Jeffries accusing Trump of blocking negotiations between Republicans and Democrats. House Speaker Johnson warned that if Democrats refuse the temporary funding bill, this shutdown could surpass the record of 35 days set in 2018-2019. The two sides have yet to reach an agreement on funding.

5. Microsoft is facing an antitrust lawsuit due to its agreement with OpenAI.

Microsoft has been accused of violating antitrust laws due to its exclusive agreement with OpenAI, allegedly raising the prices of ChatGPT. A class action lawsuit has been filed in the federal court in San Francisco, claiming that Microsoft is restricting the supply of computing resources, harming market competition and user experience. It is reported that Microsoft has invested over $13 billion in OpenAI.

6. The number of active addresses for Ethereum stablecoins has surpassed one million for the first time.

Golden Finance reported that in 2025, the average number of unique sending addresses for Ethereum stablecoins reached 720,000 per week, surpassing 1 million for the first time in the past two weeks. Over the past year, this data has shown exponential growth, primarily driven by the increased adoption of stablecoins and related applications, including perpetual contracts, prediction markets, and settlement demands for tokenization projects of physical assets. As the primary settlement layer, Ethereum attracts more capital flow, leading to a continuous increase in active addresses.

7. JPMorgan confirms it will open Bitcoin trading services.

JPMorgan has confirmed that it will allow clients to trade Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, but relevant custody services have not yet been launched.

8. BNB Chain launches a $45 million airdrop event.

BNB Chain and Four Meme have jointly launched a $45 million Reload airdrop campaign, distributing BNB to over 160,000 user addresses that have traded Memecoin in the past week. The airdrop amount will be distributed randomly, with the first batch starting this week and the entire distribution expected to be completed by early November 2025. -Original text

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