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#美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH The recent trend is actually pretty clear.
To put it simply, in the short term, it's highly likely to oscillate between the 3098 and 3250 range. Liquidity is usually thin on weekends, so the real variable will be how the rate cut meeting on the 11th next week plays out.
Right now, I'm watching the 3030-2980 area. If the price really pulls back to this level and finds support, that would be a good opportunity to build a position—this range happens to correspond to the lower boundary support of the range; technically, the 15-minute K-line is holding above the moving average, and the hourly bullish structure is still relatively intact.
Looking upward, first see if 3150 can be held, then 3250 as the key level. If it breaks through smoothly, pushing toward 3310 on momentum isn't out of the question. But the core premise is: the 3030-2980 defense line cannot be lost. If it breaks, be prepared for a deeper pullback.
As for the rate cut meeting on the 11th, pay attention to a few details: whether the rate cut meets market expectations, whether there’s hidden uncertainty in the post-meeting statement, and the actions of major institutions before and after the meeting—whether they exit early or wait for clarity before re-entering. These will directly affect short-term volatility.
In terms of strategy: hold the support, and there’s hope for an upward breakout in the range; if support breaks, that’s another story.
Also, I've been keeping an eye on $ENA and $FHE 's trends lately—more on that later if there's an opportunity.