#大户持仓变化 $ASTER recently many people have been bottom fishing at low levels, but in the short term, it may be necessary to stay rational.

I previously emphasized the importance of the 0.9 support line. Once trading volume increases and it breaks below this level, a rapid decline could follow. Based on this judgment, I already opened a short position at 0.89. For now, it seems I am managing this pace quite well.

From the market perspective, the bulls around 0.9 are actually just holding on. More interestingly, on-chain data shows that some large holders have already set up hedging positions near $1.2. This is what is called smart money — always prepared for both sides, rather than going all-in on one.

$ASTER's current position is indeed somewhat awkward. To turn around in the short term, an 80% chance still depends on fundamental changes like new staking mechanisms or deflationary designs.

My personal approach is to reserve 30% of funds to observe signals. The next trigger point is clear: either a volume breakout above 0.95 to confirm a trend reversal, or a direct drop below 0.85 to initiate an accelerated bottom search. Before that, it’s wise to keep an eye on the movements of large on-chain holders, as their position changes often reflect market expectations more accurately than candlestick charts.