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Foreign media reports that Trump will announce the Fed chairman candidate in early January, and the prediction market is optimistic about former economic advisor Kevin Hassett.
According to CNBC and several media reports, U.S. President Trump is expected to officially appoint the next Fed chair in the first week of January 2026. This key personnel decision is closely related to the timing of the current chair Powell's term ending in May 2026.
According to informed sources, the timeline for this appointment has been basically confirmed. Currently, the Trump administration has a preliminary outline of the policy inclinations for the new Fed chair. Trump himself has repeatedly emphasized that he hopes his successor will support a "growth-friendly" monetary policy to promote economic expansion.
Currently, data from the prediction market platform Polymarket shows that among many potential candidates, former White House economic advisor and former Coinbase advisor Kevin Hassett is leading the nomination probability by a wide margin, with the market predicting his winning chance to be as high as 61%.
Hassett had previously stated that the Fed "still has a lot of room for rate cuts," and this dovish stance is seen as highly aligned with Trump's desire for a "growth-friendly" monetary policy, making him a popular candidate. However, competition still exists, as prediction market probabilities indicate that the combined likelihood of other potential candidates is nearly 40%.
It is worth noting that there are differing views within the Fed regarding the future path of interest rates. Officials at the Fed believe that after three consecutive rate cuts, future interest rate policies should remain stable in the coming months, and point out that the main risk currently remains stubborn inflation. This indicates that regardless of who is ultimately nominated, the new chair will need to balance the two core tasks of "promoting growth" and "controlling inflation."
Overall, the appointment and confirmation of the Fed Chairman is one of the most critical events in the U.S. financial system, and the choice will directly impact the direction of global monetary policy, financial market expectations, and economic outlook for the coming years.
Whoever the final candidate is, the nomination of the new chairman will open a critical period, and their policy stance will directly influence the market's expectations for the interest rate path, inflation management, and economic outlook in the coming years. Global financial markets are holding their breath for #加密市场小幅回暖 .