#比特币与黄金战争 December 25 Market Observation

The current situation is like this—$BTC is repeatedly trading between 85,000 and 88,000. Frankly, there’s nothing new in the short term; it’s purely a sideways consolidation.

My trading framework is quite straightforward: short near the 88,000 resistance level, go long near the 85,000 support level, aiming for about 1,000 points profit each time, and then exit. There’s no need to hold on tightly. On Christmas Eve, liquidity in Europe and America was already thin, working overtime isn’t worth it, and I expect this choppy rhythm to continue until Friday.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s daily chart has been declining, with frequent bearish candles, indicating a generally weak tone. The hourly chart shows repeated friction around 87,000, with volatility clearly narrowing, suggesting a brewing decision on the direction. The MACD indicator remains below the zero line, with DIF and DEA both negative; the bearish trend hasn’t been completely broken, but the green bars are gradually shrinking, hinting at some stabilization signals. The RSI stays at 44, still away from oversold levels, with the overall market sentiment slightly neutral leaning bearish.

Specific strategy:
- BTC: Long in the 86,200-87,200 range, targeting 88,200-89,200
- ETH: Long in the 2,880-2,910 range, aiming for 2,970-3,000

This is the short-term game plan. During periods of low liquidity, it’s best to stay on the sidelines.