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Bitwise Unloads 10 Predictions: 'Bulls Will Win out' Across Bitcoin, Altcoins, Crypto ETFs
Bitwise Asset Management released 10 crypto predictions for 2026, outlining a forcefully bullish, bitcoin-centered outlook driven by ETF demand, institutional adoption, regulatory progress, supply constraints, and a shifting market structure favoring sustained upside momentum ahead.
Bitwise Forecasts 10 Predictions as Bitcoin Decouples From Stocks and Follows Crypto-Specific Catalysts
Bitwise Asset Management, a U.S.-based asset manager, released its “10 Crypto Predictions for 2026” report on Dec. 15, laying out a bitcoin-centered outlook alongside a clearly defined set of market, regulatory, and institutional forecasts.
The report, authored by Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan and Head of Research Ryan Rasmussen, states:
The first prediction emphasizes: “ Bitcoin will break the four-year cycle and set new all-time highs,” as Bitwise argues that the historical drivers of pullback years—halvings, interest-rate spikes, and leverage-driven blowups—have weakened. The second prediction states that bitcoin will be less volatile than Nvidia, highlighting BTC’s transition toward a lower-risk profile as exchange-traded funds (ETFs) broaden ownership. The third prediction projects that ETFs will purchase more than 100% of new bitcoin supply, alongside ethereum and solana, reinforcing a structural supply-demand imbalance. Explaining the long-term foundation behind these calls, the report adds:
The remaining seven predictions expand the framework supporting bitcoin’s outlook. The fourth prediction forecasts that crypto equities will outperform tech equities as regulatory clarity unlocks new revenue streams and product launches. The fifth predicts that Polymarket open interest will reach a new all-time high, surpassing levels seen during the 2024 U.S. election.
Read more: Bitwise Eyes Massive 2026—CEO Says ‘People Are Not Bullish Enough’
The sixth anticipates that stablecoins will be blamed for destabilizing an emerging-market currency, even as adoption reflects underlying inflation pressures. The seventh predicts that onchain vaults, described as “ETFs 2.0,” will double assets under management as institutional-grade risk controls emerge. The eighth projects that ethereum and solana will reach new all-time highs if the CLARITY Act passes, strengthening the overall regulatory environment for crypto, including bitcoin.
The ninth states that half of Ivy League endowments will invest in crypto, expanding institutional exposure to bitcoin-linked products. The tenth predicts that more than 100 crypto-linked ETFs will launch in the U.S., further broadening access. A bonus prediction returns directly to bitcoin, forecasting that its correlation with stocks will fall as crypto-specific catalysts increasingly drive performance.
FAQ 🧭
Bitwise believes weakening four-year cycle dynamics, rising institutional adoption, and regulatory progress will drive bitcoin to new all-time highs, improving its long-term risk-reward profile for investors.
The report projects that bitcoin ETFs will absorb more than 100% of new BTC supply, creating a structural imbalance that could support sustained price appreciation.
Bitwise highlights that clearer U.S. regulation, including potential passage of the CLARITY Act, could unlock new products, boost crypto equities, and support higher valuations for bitcoin and major altcoins.
Predictions that half of Ivy League endowments will allocate to crypto and that over 100 U.S. crypto-linked ETFs will launch point to accelerating mainstream and institutional capital inflows.