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Recently, a classic question has been circulating in the crypto community: "Why does the price of ASTER remain stagnant despite frequent buybacks?" After analyzing on-chain data, I discovered a very sobering phenomenon.
Basically, it's like this—project teams are repurchasing tokens, but large holders are also selling. The project team wants to keep the price low to reduce buyback costs; meanwhile, big airdrop holders see the price as unstable and want to cash out. Both sides are selling, but no one is truly buying in, leaving retail investors to be the only ones to step in and rescue the market.
What's more ironic is that the project team has no real incentive to pump the price. The lower the price, the more beneficial it is for them. Promises like "staking mining" and "holding tokens for dividends" become powerless in the face of profit motives.
My immediate reaction was straightforward: liquidate this project and switch to a stablecoin track.
A friend asked me, "Is there any project without some kind of game theory behind it? Is it even possible?"
My answer was: "When both the game designer and the market manipulators are aligned against ordinary players, do you think regular investors still have a chance?"
This reveals a common flaw in altcoins—their prices are entirely driven by the interests of project teams and large holders, with no regard for the benefits of ordinary token holders. You're like a stranger at a gambling table, where the dealer plays with you and changes the rules at will.
In contrast, the logic of stablecoins is completely different. Take over-collateralized stablecoins with 130%+ on-chain collateral as an example. Their value doesn't rely on anyone's "trustworthy promise," but is built on transparent on-chain data. No stories of secret dumping, no games of buyback and pump; only the constraints of mathematical rules: each unit of stablecoin is backed by real assets.
This is the core value of stablecoins as I understand it—trust is not placed in human nature, but in cold, hard assets and code.