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What does recent Bitcoin performance really mean? Analyst Beimnet Abebe has shared his insights.
From a technical perspective, BTC is hovering around the 50-week moving average, but downside risks still exist. If the price continues to decline, the 100-week and even the 200-week moving averages could become the next support levels. Currently, the price is in the $85.5K range. The analyst stated that once it drops below $80K, he would buy without hesitation.
More interesting is the change in market sentiment. Social media buzz has noticeably declined, although institutional funds are still present, the early "decentralized coolness" has faded. Volatility has also contracted significantly — this prevents large drops but also makes bubble-like rebounds unlikely.
On-chain data offers another perspective. ETF inflows are continuous, but the True MVRV indicator is not reacting strongly. Smart money, in a low-volatility environment, prefers to realize profits rather than continue adding positions. Weak demand and pullbacks are now facts. This phase might be the moment for investors waiting for opportunities to take action.