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🚨 Sudden change in sentiment! The Federal Reserve's probability of "pausing rate cuts" in January surges to 86%! The market bets: liquidity taps may continue to tighten!
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Data shows that the Fed "holding steady" at the January meeting has almost become a market consensus. Investors are preparing for an "hawkish pause"—in a complex situation where economic growth remains strong and inflation data has eased, policymakers have chosen to wait and see more.
What does this mean for the market?
Simply put: short-term interest rates will remain high, and the global liquidity crunch will not ease immediately. This will undoubtedly pose a new stress test for risk assets worldwide, including cryptocurrencies. The market may need to adapt to a "more expensive, tighter" funding environment.
The suspense lies in whether cryptocurrencies will follow traditional markets under pressure or once again demonstrate their "independent trend" resilience. Under expectations of liquidity tightening, increased short-term market volatility is unavoidable.
But this may also create opportunities for sober investors. When market consensus solidifies due to short-term macro pressures, it often becomes a key window to examine long-term trends and position for the next cycle. True opportunities are often born from the hesitation of the majority.