The 2008 global financial crisis originated in the US subprime mortgage market but caused shockwaves throughout the entire financial system. Ironically, the biggest winners were the instigators themselves—the US dollar became even more valuable.



Data from that time clearly illustrates the point. From September to October 2008, net capital inflows into the US securities market exceeded $500 billion, more than three times the amount in the previous nine months. US Treasury bond prices soared, and the US dollar appreciated significantly against other major currencies. What does this indicate? When the market is stable, the US dollar depreciates slowly, but once a crisis hits, global capital floods into the US dollar as a "safe haven."

Honestly, this can be traced back to 1944. The US led the establishment of the Bretton Woods system, inviting 44 countries to participate in the international monetary and financial conference. The core of the agreement was simple: the US dollar was directly linked to gold, with one ounce of gold equal to 35 USD, and other currencies pegged to the dollar with fixed exchange rates. This move elevated the US dollar to a status equivalent to gold.

Although this system began to change before 2013, the global reserve currency landscape has not seen significant shifts to this day. The most noticeable change comes from the RMB—after entering the SDR basket in 2016, the global reserve share increased from less than 1% to now 3.5%.

The question is: what kind of risks do economies tied to the US dollar actually face? This is a topic worth pondering.
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LightningAllInHerovip
· 4h ago
Wow, this move by the dollar is really amazing. The trouble I caused ended up making me a fortune.
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ApeDegenvip
· 4h ago
In plain terms, it's like the US pulled off a bad move and still managed to walk away unscathed. Truly impressive.
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FOMOrektGuyvip
· 4h ago
They only rush to the dollar when a crisis occurs; they don't care about depreciation during normal times. This safe haven business is too stable.
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BearMarketSurvivorvip
· 5h ago
It's all the mess created by the US, and in the end, the whole world foots the bill, yet the dollar actually appreciates? This system has been cutting the leeks since 1944, hasn't it?
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WhaleWatchervip
· 5h ago
So, a crisis is a money-making opportunity for the dollar. When we're trapped, they're harvesting the gains.
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PumpStrategistvip
· 5h ago
The typical safe-haven capital flow shows that the chips are highly concentrated in the US dollar, and this logical chain has become established. The 3.5% reserve ratio of the RMB is indeed interesting, but compared to the absolute advantage of the US dollar... the gap is still quite significant. Being tied to the US dollar means being harvested; in this cycle, the risk release has just begun.
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