#2026年比特币价格展望 1.8

Yesterday, the Nasdaq and S&P both hit record highs, but they both sharply pulled back at the close, and the crypto market followed suit. To be honest, this kind of follow-through decline is common—after all, the market cap of the crypto space is just that large. Compared to the tens of trillions of dollars in major US stocks, our liquidity and resilience are clearly insufficient, making increased volatility hard to avoid. Today’s decline is not only due to technical factors but also has some background noise—policy changes involving restrictions on defense contractors and adjustments to institutional home purchases, plus some uncertainties in Venezuela’s oil supply situation. So, the current focus remains on monetary policy. Let’s first watch the upcoming job vacancy data; non-farm payrolls are the key.

**$BTC**
The biggest risk for Bitcoin currently comes from a weak oscillation pattern on the weekly chart. The next critical point is whether the daily chart can drive the weekly chart out of this new direction. This rally won’t end so quickly because the daily chart is still choosing its direction. As long as it can hold above 90,000 and maintain a sideways trend, there’s a high probability of further upside. The key point is whether the fast and slow lines on the daily chart can enter a bullish zone and continue to volume up—if this happens, the trend can continue. Conversely, if it falls below 90,000, it’s time to take profits and stay safe. Today’s focus should be on the rebound strength and bottoming pattern on the 1-hour chart. Support levels are at 90,500-90,000, resistance levels at 91,800-92,800.

**$ETH**
Ethereum’s movement is basically synchronized with BTC, and it’s equally important to focus on whether the daily chart can generate volume. With volume supporting, Ethereum could surge again toward the 3300-3400 range. However, in the short term, it must hold the 3070 level; if it breaks below that, trouble could arise. The overall approach is to closely monitor the bottom formation on the 1-hour chart. Support levels are at 3120-3066, resistance levels at 3200-3260.