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#预测市场 Polymarket's probability of Hasset becoming Federal Reserve Chair jumps to 61%! 🚀 This is the charm of prediction markets—betting real money on policy directions is much more reliable than listening to analyst hype.
Trump might announce as early as the first week of January next year, which could mean a shift in the Fed's policy stance after the New Year. This kind of uncertainty is the easiest to speculate on, and capital is definitely being allocated in advance. Wosh at 21%, Waller at 10%, such a large difference in odds indicates the market has already made its bet.
Prediction markets are more appealing than traditional polls because genuine desires are directly reflected in capital flows. Whoever can sniff out policy shifts early will be able to profit from the trend, which is also why I am paying more and more attention to large trades on Polymarket. 💰 Political and economic events often drive the sentiment of the entire sector.
As the year-end sprint approaches, the key is whether this decision can catalyze a new round of market rally. Those looking to bottom fish can now observe the subsequent changes in prediction markets; the reference value is truly significant.