#密码资产动态追踪 Non-farm payroll data is about to be released, and this wave of market movement could become a key turning point. The ADP non-farm employment change unexpectedly performed poorly, but the initial jobless claims were better than expected, boosting crypto prices. The major non-farm payroll report tonight is highly anticipated; whether it continues to break expectations has become the market's focus.

The precise bottom-fishing positions given yesterday performed well, with $BTC landing perfectly within the two-thousand-plus point range, and $ETH just a few points away from 2950, close enough to enter. It's a bit regrettable, but the overall strategy remains clear. Follow-up traders might consider taking profits and exiting early.

From a daily chart perspective, after two consecutive bearish candles, $BTC showed a doji bullish candle in the early trading session today, indicating a potential rebound. However, considering the uncertainty of tonight’s non-farm data, it’s not advisable to be overly optimistic for now. The safest approach is to wait until the non-farm data is released before making decisions.

**1.9 Trading Strategy — Short Position:**

Consider shorting $BTC if it rebounds to 91600-92000. Conservative traders can wait until 92500-93000 to enter, with a stop loss around 94000. Target levels are phased: 91000 → 90500 → 90000. If it breaks below 90000, focus on the 89500-89000 zone; further breakdown requires dynamic stop-loss to protect profits.

For $ETH, a rebound to 3150-3180 presents a shorting opportunity. More cautious traders can enter at 3250-3280, with a stop at 3330. Targets are gradually lowered: 3100 → 3070 → 3050. If it breaks further down, watch 3020-3000. If it continues to fall, stop-loss adjustments are necessary.

**1.9 Trading Strategy — Long Position:**

If $BTC retraces to 88500-89000, consider a long position, with a stop at 88000. Targets are set in reverse: 90000 → 90500 → 91000. If it breaks above, watch for 91500-92000, and use a trailing stop to lock in profits.

For $ETH, a retracement to 2970-3000 is a good entry point, with a stop at 2930. Targets are 3050 → 3070 → 3100. If there’s an unexpected breakout, remember to adjust your stop-loss accordingly.

From a macro perspective, the underwhelming ADP data dragged down US stocks, but better-than-expected jobless claims provided some relief. According to the pattern, the major non-farm payroll report is unlikely to be very impressive. However, the biggest concern remains policy intervention—who knows if unexpected data might be released to guide the market?