#比特币价格预测与分析 I recently came across Pompliano's viewpoint, which suggests that the likelihood of a significant drop in Q1 next year is quite low. I feel much more relaxed now 😅
I've always heard people say that Bitcoin could plummet by 80% or so, which made me really anxious. But this analyst pointed out a detail I hadn't noticed before—the volatility is actually decreasing. Does this mean that although Bitcoin didn't surge at the end of the year, it also didn't crash, and in fact, it's become somewhat more stable?
Let me clarify the logic: over two years, it increased by 100%, and over three years, by 300%. This kind of long-term compound growth really looks impressive. In the short term, not reaching $250,000 might be a bit disappointing, but from a longer timeline, it's been steadily rising. I’m starting to understand now—it’s not just about short-term fluctuations, but about the overall trend.
However, I still want to ask everyone: what does "decreasing volatility" really mean for small retail investors like me? Does it mean the risk has decreased, or could there be bigger moves ahead? If the market is truly becoming more stable, does that indicate that the beginning of next year might be a relatively safe entry point?
Would love to hear from experienced folks so I can avoid some pitfalls.
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#比特币价格预测与分析 I recently came across Pompliano's viewpoint, which suggests that the likelihood of a significant drop in Q1 next year is quite low. I feel much more relaxed now 😅
I've always heard people say that Bitcoin could plummet by 80% or so, which made me really anxious. But this analyst pointed out a detail I hadn't noticed before—the volatility is actually decreasing. Does this mean that although Bitcoin didn't surge at the end of the year, it also didn't crash, and in fact, it's become somewhat more stable?
Let me clarify the logic: over two years, it increased by 100%, and over three years, by 300%. This kind of long-term compound growth really looks impressive. In the short term, not reaching $250,000 might be a bit disappointing, but from a longer timeline, it's been steadily rising. I’m starting to understand now—it’s not just about short-term fluctuations, but about the overall trend.
However, I still want to ask everyone: what does "decreasing volatility" really mean for small retail investors like me? Does it mean the risk has decreased, or could there be bigger moves ahead? If the market is truly becoming more stable, does that indicate that the beginning of next year might be a relatively safe entry point?
Would love to hear from experienced folks so I can avoid some pitfalls.