#美国贸易赤字状况 Beijing Time January 9 evening, the United States will release the December non-farm payroll data—this report often stirs the entire financial market. The market generally expects about 60,000 new jobs (last month's data was 64,000), and the unemployment rate may fall back to 4.5%. However, the previous ADP private employment data only increased by 41,000, below expectations, indicating a slowdown in employment growth.

Whether the data exceeds or falls short of expectations, two different market reactions will be triggered—this is very critical. If the non-farm data is weaker than expected, the market will reinforce expectations of the Fed cutting interest rates, putting downward pressure on the dollar, while gold may rise accordingly; conversely, strong data will suppress rate cut expectations, causing gold to face pressure and pull back.

From a trading perspective, $BTC can consider short positions in the 91,500-92,000 range, with a target of 89,600-87,800 below. The same approach applies to $ETH, short in the 3,160-3,190 range, with a target of 3,100-3,000 for a wave low.

For retail traders, the key is to watch the difference between the data and market expectations, and enter the market only after the non-farm data is officially released—do not rush prematurely. Make sure to have good risk control before trading, and strictly execute stop-loss orders. $BNB