2026-01-09 03:01:16

#2026年比特币价格展望 Non-farm Payrolls data arrives tonight, Bitcoin faces a true test at the 90,000 level

Tonight marks the release of the first non-farm employment report of 2026 (December data). How significant is this data? It is a key indicator for the Federal Reserve's January policy meeting, directly determining whether Bitcoin will rise or fall next.

The logical chain is actually not complicated:

If employment data exceeds expectations → indicates strong US economic resilience → raises expectations of interest rate hikes by the central bank → USD appreciates, capital flows back, and BTC faces immense pressure at the 90,000 level;

If employment data is weaker → increases the possibility of rate cuts → market liquidity loosens → the coin price may break through the 94,000 resistance line;

If the data meets expectations → volatility may be absorbed, and focus shifts to subsequent CPI data.

But there is a key point that is easily overlooked: wage growth is more influential on the market than pure new employment numbers. If wage data exceeds expectations, it can trigger large forced liquidations of contracts, amplifying short-term volatility several times.

Currently, Bitcoin is repeatedly tugging at the 90,000 level. The non-farm data is essentially the watershed in this tug-of-war, and institutions are already shrinking their positions in preparation.

Trading advice: Don't pile on high leverage, remember to set stop-loss orders, and avoid the idea that a single data release can determine the long-term trend.

BTC0,39%

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LidoStakeAddict

· 5h ago

Salary data is the real game-changer; don't just focus on employment figures. What are institutions doing with the 90,000 position? Something feels off. No matter how high the leverage stack is, it's just money for the exchange. This non-farm payroll report is really intense.

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SilentAlpha

· 01-09 03:30

Salary data is the real killer; many people haven't realized it at all. --- The 90,000 mark will be clear tonight. Feeling a bit nervous. --- Stop playing with leverage, brother. The sound of contract liquidation has already started. --- Once the expectation of interest rate cuts heats up, liquidity loosens, and the currency price soars. I'm just worried that data exceeding expectations will cause a sell-off. --- Are institutions shrinking their positions? Should I also take some out? --- The metaphor of a tug-of-war is perfect; just one more straw and it will break. --- Stop-loss orders must be properly set; otherwise, a wave of contract liquidations could wipe out retail investors. --- Strong exceeding expectations mean the expectation of rate hikes is heating up, the dollar appreciates, and funds are rushing to buy US bonds. --- Basically, it's a non-farm payroll gamble. I choose not to gamble.

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gaslight_gasfeez

· 01-09 03:27

Salary data is the real tough guy; the non-farm numbers are all fake, and the contract guys are about to get exposed.

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FlashLoanLord

· 01-09 03:26

Salary data is the real game-changer. Everyone is focused on the new employment figures, but little do they know that this is actually the fuse that ignites the contract explosion.

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metaverse_hermit

· 01-09 03:16

Salary data is the real hidden knife, with each cut causing a contract to liquidate. --- The 90,000 mark is really stuck, feels like institutions are setting traps. --- Don’t talk about medium- and long-term trends, who can hold up during such night-time market conditions? --- Non-farm payroll data is like a casino opening, a single report can change destiny. --- I already placed my stop-loss orders long ago, I don’t want to be cut like a leek. --- Honestly, salary growth rate is easily overlooked; most people only focus on new employment numbers. --- Can 94,000 really be broken through? I think it’s uncertain.

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SmartMoneyWallet

· 01-09 03:13

Salary data is the real knife; don't be fooled by the new employment figures. Institutional positions have already shrunk early; retail investors are still repeatedly hit at 90,000. Resistance at 94,000? On-chain chip distribution has already given us the answer. This tug-of-war has actually already determined the winner. Rather than waiting for the non-farm payrolls, it's better to look at the recent wallet movements of the big whales—that's the real signal. Leverage, huh? Just one piece of data tonight could liquidate you. Why bother?

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MerkleDreamer

· 01-09 03:02

90,000 really feels like a deadlock. Can tonight's non-farm payrolls give us some relief? If the wage data bombs, small investors will be forced to liquidate again.

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TopBuyerBottomSeller

· 01-09 03:01

Salary data is the real killer; exceeding expectations directly causes a sell-off. I've seen too many contracts get liquidated.

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