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Today, the gold market is experiencing an exceptionally high volume of information, and price fluctuations will be quite intense. The oil meeting, Trump’s speech, the Supreme Court’s tariff ruling, and Fed officials’ comments—these major news events are coming one after another, and gold could spike or plunge instantly. News updates need to be real-time; don’t be caught off guard by sudden market moves.
In the next few days, the Bloomberg Commodity Index will be in a rebalancing period, ending only on the 15th. During this phase, gold’s rise and fall may simply be due to capital reallocation, not genuine market demand. If you see prices rising, don’t rush in; if you see prices falling, don’t panic sell. Otherwise, you’ll be fooled.
Be extra cautious when prices reach key levels. When gold hits or drops to important price points, don’t immediately follow the trend. Make sure there’s real capital driving the move, check if the candlestick patterns are truly stabilizing or breaking down, and avoid being trapped by false breakouts.
Position management is especially important—news is coming so rapidly that market judgment is difficult. Don’t go all-in with heavy positions. Cutting your usual position in half is enough. If multiple key news events happen simultaneously, it’s better to wait rather than forcing a trade.
To get a more accurate view of gold, analyze from the perspectives of the US dollar and US Treasury bonds. Usually, a strengthening dollar will suppress gold prices, while falling US Treasury yields tend to push gold higher. Keep an eye on these two variables; it’s much clearer than just watching gold move up and down on its own.