2026-01-09 03:31:13

A trader with some fame in the crypto market has recently made a new move. This individual previously earned $2.07 million on GOAT coin, earning a reputation as a tough player. Recently, he set up a wallet called captainbigballs on the Polymarket prediction market, turning into a player in political odds.

According to on-chain data, this trader placed a heavy bet of $105,000 on a high-risk prediction — he wagered that the Iranian regime would fall before January 31. Interestingly, at the time of the bet, the market probability for this event was only 14%, indicating that he either has a unique judgment of the situation or is playing a high-risk, high-reward game.

From GOAT to geopolitical odds, this trader's thought process shows a significant leap. This also reflects that prediction markets are increasingly attracting seasoned players from the crypto ecosystem, and the places where they bet real money often become the most watched focal points in the market.

GOAT-1,17%

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OldLeekMaster

· 01-10 12:45

This guy really dares to play. 2.07 million GOAT isn't enough, he still wants to bet on geopolitics... $105,000 with a 14% chance to win—either he's clear-headed or truly crazy. The account name captainbigballs says it all, haha. From the crypto world to political betting, seasoned players put their money where the most excitement is. If this person really makes a profit, it must be incredibly satisfying.

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MevHunter

· 01-09 04:01

This guy really dares to play. He pulled out 2.07 million from GOAT, and now he's betting on political odds. I think he's addicted to gambling. A 14% chance to bet 105,000, if it's not information asymmetry, then he's really a lunatic... Alright, I bet he crashes this time. Prediction markets are really starting to look more and more like casinos; it's only a matter of time before something goes wrong. The wallet name "captainbigballs" is hilarious, it's already full of balls. But on the other hand, where does this guy get his money from? He's so reckless. Let's watch the show and see how it ends on January 31. This is the true picture of Web3... Money makes people reckless, and prediction markets have become a toy for the big players. Damn, betting on political events—are they playing with fire? Jumping from the crypto world to geopolitics, that's quite a leap in thinking... But those who make money definitely don't follow the usual path.

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P2ENotWorking

· 01-09 04:01

A 14% chance to risk 105,000. This guy really isn't afraid of death, betting on the Iran regime's collapse... How much confidence does he need to dare to play like this?

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tokenomics_truther

· 01-09 04:01

10.5K betting on the Iranian regime's collapse? Bro, are you trading or gambling with your life? This guy is really outrageous. GOAT made a fortune and still wants to play the geopolitical betting game. captainbigballs, that wallet name is perfect. Truly big balls. 14% chance to go all in? Either he's out of his mind or he's seen some information. From a crypto tough guy to a political gambler, this turnaround is a bit abrupt. Prediction markets are definitely bloodsucking, but I can't handle this risk anymore. If this guy wins, he's really the big winner in Werewolf Kill. 207K GOAT profit—shouldn't there be a minimum guarantee? Why bother with all this? Honestly, with odds at 14%, there might really be some insider info.

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ChainMemeDealer

· 01-09 03:39

Haha, this guy really dares to play. Earning 2.07 million GOAT isn't enough, now he's directly betting on geopolitics. This risk appetite is a bit outrageous.

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DogsAreNoBetterThan