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This morning, A-shares collectively surged with increased volume. As of now, the Shanghai Composite Index is up 0.78% at 4116 points, the Shenzhen Component Index is up 1.2%, and the ChiNext Index is up 0.56%. 4116 has already become a high point for today.
Interestingly, this level closely matches the target forecast from a few days ago. Based on technical analysis, after falling from the historical high of 5178 points to the low of 2440 points, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level coincides exactly with 4132 points— a key level near the second-highest historical point. The current index is already very close to this expected target.
What’s more worth noting is the performance of trading volume. The morning trading volume exceeded 170 billion yuan compared to the same period on the previous trading day, a rare level of increase. At this pace, the total trading volume for the entire day could approach 3.19 trillion yuan. Looking at the 25-year history of A-shares, only four times has the trading volume broken through 3 trillion yuan, which clearly indicates a massive scale.
From these signals, the short-term trend may face a pattern of rising sharply and then pulling back. The specific development will depend on the performance after the morning close.