Breaking news just arrived. Trump revealed to the media today that he already has a clear candidate in mind for the next Federal Reserve Chair, but he’s keeping everyone guessing—let’s see who guesses right.

Here’s a summary of the key information: the candidate has indeed been decided, but no one has disclosed who it is yet. When asked whether it might be Hassett, Trump deliberately dodged the question: "Not sure, but he is certainly one of the people I admire." The current market betting is as follows—Waller has a 41% expected support rate, Hassett is close behind at 39%, and Wosh is relatively less favored at 12%.

Why does everyone in the market need to pay attention to this? Because the Fed Chair is no ordinary role. This position controls the lifeblood of the global financial system—balancing White House policy preferences and market expectations. One decision from this person could immediately tighten or loosen global liquidity.

What truly tests the market isn’t "who will sit in this chair ultimately," but "what style this person has." Waller represents a hawkish, tightening stance, while Hassett leans more toward aligning with the White House’s easing approach. Style determines direction, and the market will sway with every rumor.

The next steps are actually simple but crucial: first, keep a close eye on Trump’s statements; second, monitor real-time changes in market odds. Combining these two signals is the real compass that reflects market trends.