Friends, the first key data of the new year is about to be revealed!

First, the non-farm payroll report, followed by the inflation expectations announcement. Any "shock" data could significantly damage market momentum!

Currently, the forecast for the first non-farm job increase is only about 60,000, a noticeable decline from the previous month, and the unemployment rate could rise to 4.5%—this can easily be interpreted as a sign of weakening economic momentum, or even strengthen market speculation of rate cuts. Does that sound like good news?

Don't jump to conclusions too early! Inflation expectations still stand at 4.20%. If price pressures remain stubborn, even weak employment data will make it difficult for the Federal Reserve to pivot easily, and market volatility will only intensify!

Looking back to early last year, unexpectedly weak non-farm data actually caused risk assets to crash—so poor data doesn’t necessarily mean the market will rise.

Currently, market sentiment is fragile, and any unexpected data—whether stronger or weaker—could be overinterpreted, triggering panic selling. Are you ready for the volatility with your positions?
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