#比特币价格波动 Recently, I've seen quite a few discussions about Bitcoin's trajectory next year. Some analysts believe the probability of a sharp decline in Q1 is very low, and some institutions expect 2026 to be a wave of strong recovery. To be honest, these voices are quite interesting, but I want to remind everyone that—no matter how appealing the predictions are, they cannot change the market's uncertainty.

Bitcoin's performance this year has indeed been somewhat disappointing, but from a longer cycle perspective, 100% gains in two years and nearly 300% gains in three years represent truly remarkable compound growth. However, this also illustrates just how high the volatility is. The mentality of chasing gains and panic selling in the short term often leads to losses on this type of asset.

My suggestion remains the same old approach: First, don't put all your eggs in one basket—Bitcoin's allocation should be reasonable within your overall asset portfolio. Second, if you choose to hold, you need to be mentally prepared—don't get excited with 50% gains, and don't panic with 30% losses. Third, regularly review your positions and your original intentions—are you truly bullish on the long term, or just trying to bet on a short-term rebound?

Market voices are noisy, but your investment plan should be clear. Keep your composure, hold your ground, and time will provide the answer.