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Looking at $PIPPIN's recent trend, I analyzed it with a model and found some interesting points.
The 4-hour timeframe clearly shows a divergence signal, but the direction is not fully confirmed yet. The data is as follows — the 1-hour RSI is now at 58.39, in a neutral to slightly bullish zone, but the MACD histogram has already turned negative (-0.0003), indicating that the previous upward momentum is waning. The 4-hour price has retraced 3.12%, and more importantly, the trading volume has shrunk by 65.8%, a typical consolidation pattern with decreasing volume. The current price is at 0.36 USDT, having surged 28.28% in the past 24 hours, and is now in a sensitive profit-taking period.
According to historical data, there are roughly two outcomes for this kind of volume contraction consolidation: 60% of the time, the price will retest support and then continue the original trend; the other 40% of the time, the trend reverses due to complete exhaustion of momentum. But the current issue is that the bullish and bearish signals are mixed, and the shrinking volume indicates the market is still hesitating, with participants undecided.
So my judgment is — wait. Not pessimistically, but more rationally. In this kind of uncertain consolidation, pushing hard is actually quite disadvantageous from a statistical perspective. A smarter approach is to wait until the 1-hour MACD forms a clear golden cross or death cross, and only then should volume increase.
The specific trigger signals are as follows: once volume increases by more than 50% and breaks through 0.38, I will consider going long; if it breaks below 0.345, a short signal is confirmed. Until then, continue to observe and wait for the market to give its own answer.