#稳定币支付 Seeing the surge in the prediction market wave, I actually have mixed feelings. The 2026 World Cup is approaching, and platforms are getting ready. The data is indeed impressive—an average monthly trading volume of $13 billion, a tenfold increase compared to last year. But the more prosperous it gets, the more I want to remind everyone of a fact: this is not a boom, but a stress test.

The true watershed is no longer about product innovation, but about who can operate stably within the regulatory framework. Regulatory attitudes across US states vary, and the CFTC's stance is also wavering. What does this mean? It means that even if a platform appears to have deep liquidity and high trading volume today, it could be shut down tomorrow due to regulatory shifts. I’ve seen too many people blinded by short-term prosperity, forgetting a fundamental principle: safety always comes before returns.

I’ve noticed that stablecoins are playing an increasingly important role in this process—shifting from speculative assets to operational infrastructure. But the European Central Bank already warned about the risks of private stablecoins in 2025, implying that future regulations will be stricter. In other words, those who have all their funds on a single platform or settlement method are taking risks that are much greater than they seem.

If you want to participate in this field, my advice is straightforward: first, clarify the compliance status of the platform you plan to invest in within your region; second, keep your positions small—don’t treat it as a main asset allocation, but as an exploratory allocation that can withstand total loss. The World Cup will be a major test, but the likely outcome is industry consolidation and a big wave of淘沙. Platforms that survive until 2027 are the ones worth trusting.