2026-01-09 04:29:50

Bull markets make money, bear markets clear the field. This is a phrase all seasoned traders understand, but few can truly identify the turning points within the patterns of history.

Every time Bitcoin surges, it shines brightly, but behind each rally lie seeds of collapse. A look into history reveals the clues—those seemingly endless upward trends eventually reach a peak and give way to the next cycle. To catch the wave at the right moment, you first need to learn how to recognize warning signals. This analysis reviews past cycle performances, technical signals, on-chain failure indicators, and often overlooked macroeconomic factors, telling you at which points cryptocurrency bull markets typically start to show signs of fatigue.

**Historical Turning Points**

How crazy was Bitcoin in 2013? It skyrocketed from $145 to over $1200. The gains were astonishing, but don’t just look at the profits—exchanges collapsed, and early regulations arrived, causing prices to plummet straight down. This crash taught the market a profound lesson.

2017 was even more exaggerated. Bitcoin soared from $1,000 to nearly $20,000, driven by speculative frenzy and amplified leverage from new financial instruments like futures contracts. But when institutions started building short positions and regulators stepped in, the market sentiment flipped instantly.

From 2020 to 2021, history repeated itself, but with a different script. Each cycle has its own story. The question is—can you understand which act of the cycle you are currently witnessing?

BTC-0.39%

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SellLowExpert

· 01-09 06:22

Sounds good, but isn't it always after the fact that everyone becomes a wise man? When it really comes down to the critical moment, isn't it the same old story of following the trend and cutting losses? Back in 2017, I was watching, thinking about waiting a bit longer when it hit 8000, but as you all know the ending. The question is, who can really predict it? Anyway, I just make some profit and run.

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DAOdreamer

· 01-09 04:59

That's right, only those who have weathered many storms and survived can make money.

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ColdWalletGuardian

· 01-09 04:59

That's right, the key is that most people are armchair strategists after the fact, only realizing they've been cut after it's too late. The top often happens at the most exciting moment; in 2017, I was caught in the darkness before dawn. Warning signals have been around for a long time; it all depends on whether you choose to believe them. This cycle repeats every time, and only a tiny few can survive to see the next cycle. From 2013 to 2017 and now, the pattern seems to be repeating, but can we escape the peak this time? Honesty is tough.

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NFTragedy

· 01-09 04:55

Damn, I was completely washed out during the 2017 wave, and reading this article now makes it even more painful. They're right, every time there are warning signs everywhere, yet I still get greedy. Really, recognizing turning points is much harder than making money. Why does no one remember the lesson from 2013? The cycle law is clearly written, but everyone forgets it when it comes to execution. Can we escape the top this time? Honestly, I don't know.

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VitalikFanAccount

· 01-09 04:52

Basically, those who buy high have to take the loss, while the real profit-makers have already run away.

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Frontrunner

· 01-09 04:41

Honestly, identifying the top is much harder than making money; most people are armchair strategists after the fact. History repeats itself but is never exactly the same, and that's what hurts the most. I went all in during the 2017 wave, and I'm still reflecting on it. Top signals? Bro, can you really stay calm and identify the peak during the madness? On-chain data, no matter how perfect, can't stop retail investors' herd mentality. But looking at cycles is indeed better than wild guessing—knowing is easy, doing is hard.

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0xInsomnia

· 01-09 04:32

That's right, but only a few can accurately sell at the right timing, most people end up buying high and getting trapped.

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