2026-01-09 05:00:42

In Goldman Sachs's latest non-farm payrolls forecast analysis, it is mentioned that the current market probability of the Federal Reserve starting interest rate cuts in April 2026 remains around 55%. This figure is crucial—if the hard indicators such as non-farm employment gains and the unemployment rate significantly deviate from expectations, the market's judgment on interest rate cuts could undergo a major shift.

In simple terms, non-farm payroll data is like a thermometer for gauging the temperature of the U.S. economy. Once this indicator diverges from market expectations, it directly impacts investors' outlook on economic prospects, ultimately influencing how the Federal Reserve sets its policy tone. This has a considerable impact on the liquidity expectations for $BNB and the entire crypto market—after all, the Fed's actions often determine the rhythm of risk asset fluctuations. In the short term, such macroeconomic data will be key focus points.

BNB-1,45%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

14 Likes

Reward
14
4
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

GhostInTheChain

· 01-09 05:30

55% probability? To be honest, it's a bit uncertain... If the non-farm payroll data has issues, BNB will jump right along.

View OriginalReply0

GasSavingMaster

· 01-09 05:26

55% chance... To be honest, this number is a bit shaky. As soon as the non-farm payroll data is released, the market crashes immediately. The Federal Reserve is really the behind-the-scenes manipulator of the market rhythm. Retail investors like us just have to sit back and take the hit.

View OriginalReply0

GasFeeNightmare

· 01-09 05:10

It's another non-farm data release, with a 55% probability that sounds quite uncertain, feeling like a coin flip... But on the other hand, this thing really can affect liquidity. If gas fees surge again then, I'll just abandon the chain.

View OriginalReply0

RugpullTherapist

· 01-09 05:05

There's a 55% chance of telling the truth, which is a bit awkward and makes it hard to see the direction. As soon as the non-farm data is released, the Federal Reserve will play us again—same old trick. BNB's rise really depends on luck; even a cough from the Federal Reserve can make it shake. This time, we really need to keep a close eye on the data, or we'll get cut again.

View OriginalReply0