Looking at this wave of Bitcoin market activity, it's quite interesting. From the 4-hour timeframe, after a spike higher, the price has been steadily retreating. During the rebound, trading volume clearly shrank, and the moving averages are also suppressing the price, especially the 25-period moving average which has been holding the price around 91,000 without much movement. This doesn't look like a bottoming process; it more resembles a technical rebound during a downtrend—essentially a trap for bullish traders at the end of the rally.



Now, looking at the capital flow, there has been a net outflow over the past 24 hours, and large orders over the 5-day period are still continuously flowing out. Combined, this signals that the opportunity for bears has arrived.

How to operate specifically? For aggressive traders, consider opening short positions lightly around 91,000. For more cautious traders, it’s better to gradually enter short positions in the 91,200 to 91,800 range. Stop-loss must be set properly; if the price breaks above 92,300 and stabilizes, it indicates that the current trap logic has failed, and it’s time to cut losses and exit.

Take profit in three levels: first target at 89,800; second at 88,200; if the market moves as expected, the ultimate target could be in the 86,800 to 87,000 range. The key is to stay disciplined—no greed, no rushing.
BTC-0.19%
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BasementAlchemistvip
· 19h ago
You're trying to deceive the bulls again; I've seen this trick too many times. However, with the moving averages firmly holding at 91,000, it does look a bit suspicious. I've also noticed the capital outflow; it seems that the short-selling opportunities are indeed brewing.
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RealYieldWizardvip
· 01-09 05:52
The 91,000 level is indeed interesting. The detail of shrinking volume is well captured, and it feels like the trap of inducing more buying is almost coming to an end.
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ChainPoetvip
· 01-09 05:36
I also see the logic of the trap, but I'm a bit worried that the liquidity situation might suddenly change. The moving average resistance is a fact, but that 91,000 level was the same last time, and in the end, it still broke through. I agree with the short position setup, but the stop loss at 92,300 must be strictly enforced, no leniency.
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GateUser-bd883c58vip
· 01-09 05:28
This level at 91,000 is really tough to break through; the moving average pressure is indeed strong. However, I still feel it's a bit early; although funds are flowing out, entering a short position now seems a bit premature. Let's wait and see. The risk is still quite high. I've heard about many scams before, but in the end, I ended up getting fooled.
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