Prediction markets are moving from niche areas toward mainstream adoption. Industry experts recently pointed out that by 2026, these markets will achieve deep integration with cryptocurrencies and artificial intelligence, resulting in larger scale, broader applications, and stronger capabilities — but at the same time, they will also pose many new challenges for developers.

A clear change this year is the significant increase in the number of contracts. This not only means participants can track the probability of major events such as elections and geopolitical developments in real-time but also enables precise coverage of various niche scenarios and complex interactive events. As these new contracts gradually disclose information and integrate into the news and public opinion ecosystem (which is already happening), a series of important questions will arise: How to evaluate the true value of this information? How to optimize design to enhance transparency and auditability? This is precisely where blockchain technology can be put to good use.

With the explosive growth of contracts, prediction markets face an urgent issue — the need to establish a new "truth consensus" mechanism to handle contract adjudication. This will be the key to whether the market can develop healthily.