【In-Depth Analysis】BTC now over $90,000. What is the extreme high point range for this year (2026)?

1. First, the conclusion: 🎯 $110,000 – $130,000

$120,000 is the core and most likely upper limit to be tested multiple times

$130,000 belongs to the “blow-off top price” driven by sentiment + liquidity + ETF favorable conditions

Above $150,000: very low probability this year (not zero, but very small)

2. Why is the “top” most likely around $120,000 this year
1️⃣ This round of BTC has already completed the “main upward wave”

ETF funds → have already realized the “institutional entry” narrative once

$90,000 is not a low point; it is a price in the later stage of a bull market

👉 Further rise now is not narrative-driven but liquidity-driven

2️⃣ The macro environment in 2026 does not support “unlimited rally”

Key reality:

The world has not entered full easing

Even if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, it will be slow + conditional

BTC lacks a “monetary flood” like in 2020–2021

3️⃣ $120,000 is a price where “everyone will sell”

You need to understand a very realistic psychological structure:

$70,000–$80,000: early ETF funds

$90,000–$100,000: trend funds, retail FOMO

$110,000–$120,000:
Old miners sell
Old crypto circle sell
Hedge funds sell
Previous trapped holders unwind and sell

This is a typical “supply wall”

3. The three most likely trend paths for BTC this year

🟢 Path A (highest probability, ≈50%)

$90,000 → $110,000–$120,000 → high-level consolidation → pullback

Multiple attempts to reach $120,000 but fail

Coin and mining stocks peak first

On-chain activity declines

This is the “standard late-stage bull market structure”

🟡 Path B (≈30%)

$90,000 → $105,000–$110,000 → sideways for half a year

Time buys space

No sharp decline, but no new highs

Altcoins continue to decline

One of the most torturous paths for retail investors

🔴 Path C (≈20%)

One-time surge to $130,000 → quick pullback

ETF large buy + macro short-term positive news

Soon followed by a “long upper shadow”

This is the last emotional release

4. Very important: how should you “use this price”

If you are a BTC holder

Here is a practical trading zone:

Above $105,000: start reducing positions

$115,000–$120,000: must sell more than half

Near $130,000: not selling would be irresponsible to yourself