#比特币价格预测与投资主题 Seeing this cycle statistics, my mind immediately flashes back to several complete cycles I’ve observed over the years. 1064 days from bottom to top, 364 days from top back to bottom—I've repeatedly verified this combination of numbers, and it indeed has an internal logic.

Remember the 2015 cycle? From a bottom of $1100 to nearly $20,000 in 2017, then took almost a year to fall back to over $3600. At that time, many people sold in despair at the bottom, only to see tenfold gains afterward. The cycle from 2018 to 2019 also roughly followed this rhythm, although the specific timing varied, the pattern was similar.

If this prediction is correct, a bottom around $37,500 in October next year would mean that we have already gone through most of the adjustment period. Starting from the high point at the end of last year, it’s indeed approaching this window. I’ve experienced several such waiting periods; the hardest part isn’t the bottom itself, but sticking through times when hope seems completely lost.

History has shown me that real opportunities are always packaged and delivered during moments of despair. Will this time be different? Not likely. But the prerequisite is that you need to live long enough and maintain a steady mindset. Those who sold out at the bottom at the end of 2015 missed the train by 2017.