2026-01-09 10:28:53

This wave is unlikely to shut down again. The two parties arguing back and forth doesn't really make much sense. This time, it's most likely a short-term extension plan with no additional clauses. According to prediction market data on a certain crypto derivatives platform, the probability of a shutdown is only about 23.5%, so there's actually no need to be too worried. It seems that the market's attitude towards this issue has shifted from previous anxiety to relative stability.

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OnchainDetective

· 01-09 10:55

What's there to be nervous about with 23.5%? Those betting on government bond defaults might end up losing again this time.

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fren.eth

· 01-09 10:55

Short-term renewal, just go for a short-term renewal. Anyway, a 23.5% chance is like flipping a coin in a casino. Keep accumulating what I should, and continue to hold.

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GasFeeLady

· 01-09 10:50

ngl the 23.5% odds are still spicy tho... like yeah markets chilled but that's the exact moment the rug usually pulls, seen it too many times on-chain watching these prediction markets. probably just gonna set my limit orders and bounce

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GasWastingMaximalist

· 01-09 10:38

23.5% is quite high, I'm still a bit nervous... But since it's probably going to stay like this, I should just accumulate coins.

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MissedAirdropBro

· 01-09 10:29

Actually, it should have been like this a long time ago. Playing prediction markets is becoming increasingly accurate.

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