#密码资产动态追踪 As of 6 PM on January 9th, Bitcoin is hovering around $91,000, with a 24-hour decline of 0.2%; Ethereum is at $3,080, down 3.2%. After a V-shaped rebound today, the market has pulled back again. Tonight’s non-farm payroll data will be the decisive factor.
**Bitcoin Trend Analysis**
Currently stuck in the range of 89,262-91,445. From the support perspective, the main focus is on 89,500-90,000 (below 90,000 is a strong support at 89,000), with resistance at 91,800-92,000 (92,500 is the hard ceiling). There are some issues with liquidity—ETF net outflows over the past two days amount to $730 million, and leverage is being cleared, with long positions being liquidated as the main theme. Trading advice is to buy low around 89,500-90,000, take profits at 91,800-92,000, set stop-loss at 89,000, and keep individual positions below 30% of total.
**Ethereum Key Levels**
Range of 3,052-3,146. Support at 3,050-3,070 (strong support at 3,000), resistance at 3,130-3,180 (hard resistance at 3,200). It’s important to note that the 3,000-3,200 price zone has a large concentration of liquidation orders, which can cause sharp volatility. The suggested strategy is to buy low at 3,060, reduce positions at 3,130, keep leverage below 3x, and set stop-loss at 3,000.
**Non-Farm Payroll Data Plan**
Wait and see how the US employment data performs: - If data far exceeds expectations (more than 200,000): short Bitcoin near 91,000 targeting 89,500, with a stop at 91,800; short Ethereum near 3,100 targeting 3,050, with a stop at 3,150. - If data is weak (less than 150,000): break above 92,000 to go long on Bitcoin, targeting 92,500, with a stop at 91,500; break above 3,180 to go long on Ethereum, targeting 3,220, with a stop at 3,130. - If in line with expectations: revert to routine low buy and high sell, keeping single trade losses within 5%.
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SleepyArbCat
· 4h ago
Another V-shaped rebound followed by a decline. This market is as unpredictable as my nap... It's the same story before non-farm payrolls; let's wait for the data.
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DaoResearcher
· 01-10 13:03
From the data performance, the phenomenon of this ETF net outflow of $730 million is worth in-depth analysis. Does it reflect a certain governance-level consensus split?
According to on-chain data, the concentration of liquidation orders in the 3000-3200 price range may be repeatedly hammered down. If the assumption is correct, it could indicate that market participants' incentive mechanisms have become seriously incompatible.
Can non-farm payroll data truly be a decisive factor, or are we overfitting macro variables? It's worth pondering.
Wait, I found a problem—single position at 30% combined with 3x leverage. This risk parameter combination in a high-volatility environment is actually self-PUA. It is recommended to re-examine the underlying assumptions.
Ah, isn't this low-buy strategy too rigid? What if a black swan event directly penetrates 89,000?
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SchrodingerAirdrop
· 01-09 11:00
Non-farm payrolls are coming, time to start gambling with luck again... This wave of ETF net outflows feels very air-like.
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GateUser-e87b21ee
· 01-09 11:00
Non-farm payroll always brings everyone to their knees, don't fucking go all-in with leverage.
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LiquidityHunter
· 01-09 11:00
Net outflow of 730 million? This liquidity gap is clever; let's wait for the non-farm payroll data to stir things up.
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MEVHunterX
· 01-09 10:58
On the eve of the non-farm payroll data, after this V-shaped rebound, it dropped back again, which feels a bit scary.
ETF net outflow of 730 million, the bulls are indeed bleeding, so let's stay cautious.
I'm repeatedly averaging down in the 89,000-91,000 range, with stop-loss fixed and no movement.
That critical level at 3000 is too dangerous, with a huge pile of liquidation orders.
Let's wait for the Americans to release the data before making any moves; I don't want to be smashed through by the non-farm payroll.
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NonFungibleDegen
· 01-09 10:49
ngl this nonfarm data about to ruin someone's whole portfolio... probably me lol
#密码资产动态追踪 As of 6 PM on January 9th, Bitcoin is hovering around $91,000, with a 24-hour decline of 0.2%; Ethereum is at $3,080, down 3.2%. After a V-shaped rebound today, the market has pulled back again. Tonight’s non-farm payroll data will be the decisive factor.
**Bitcoin Trend Analysis**
Currently stuck in the range of 89,262-91,445. From the support perspective, the main focus is on 89,500-90,000 (below 90,000 is a strong support at 89,000), with resistance at 91,800-92,000 (92,500 is the hard ceiling). There are some issues with liquidity—ETF net outflows over the past two days amount to $730 million, and leverage is being cleared, with long positions being liquidated as the main theme. Trading advice is to buy low around 89,500-90,000, take profits at 91,800-92,000, set stop-loss at 89,000, and keep individual positions below 30% of total.
**Ethereum Key Levels**
Range of 3,052-3,146. Support at 3,050-3,070 (strong support at 3,000), resistance at 3,130-3,180 (hard resistance at 3,200). It’s important to note that the 3,000-3,200 price zone has a large concentration of liquidation orders, which can cause sharp volatility. The suggested strategy is to buy low at 3,060, reduce positions at 3,130, keep leverage below 3x, and set stop-loss at 3,000.
**Non-Farm Payroll Data Plan**
Wait and see how the US employment data performs:
- If data far exceeds expectations (more than 200,000): short Bitcoin near 91,000 targeting 89,500, with a stop at 91,800; short Ethereum near 3,100 targeting 3,050, with a stop at 3,150.
- If data is weak (less than 150,000): break above 92,000 to go long on Bitcoin, targeting 92,500, with a stop at 91,500; break above 3,180 to go long on Ethereum, targeting 3,220, with a stop at 3,130.
- If in line with expectations: revert to routine low buy and high sell, keeping single trade losses within 5%.