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Recently, what's interesting is the various voices predicting the short-term trend of Bitcoin in the market. According to current market forecasts, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 in January is only 26%, which indeed sounds not very optimistic. However, more people are betting on the $95,000 level, with a probability of 59%, indicating that the market still leans bullish, just with less aggressive growth expectations.
Looking at the downside risks, the probability of dropping to $85,000 is 43%, which is not small and suggests nearly half of the forecasts expect a significant correction. Further down, the probability of falling to $80,000 drops to 19%, which should be a support level in many people's minds.
Overall, market sentiment remains mildly optimistic, but risk pricing is quite thorough. Everyone is closely watching how this wave of Bitcoin movement will unfold.