Recently, what's interesting is the various voices predicting the short-term trend of Bitcoin in the market. According to current market forecasts, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 in January is only 26%, which indeed sounds not very optimistic. However, more people are betting on the $95,000 level, with a probability of 59%, indicating that the market still leans bullish, just with less aggressive growth expectations.



Looking at the downside risks, the probability of dropping to $85,000 is 43%, which is not small and suggests nearly half of the forecasts expect a significant correction. Further down, the probability of falling to $80,000 drops to 19%, which should be a support level in many people's minds.

Overall, market sentiment remains mildly optimistic, but risk pricing is quite thorough. Everyone is closely watching how this wave of Bitcoin movement will unfold.
BTC-0.33%
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BetterLuckyThanSmartvip
· 01-09 11:50
The 95,000 level is really holding strong, but I still think the probability of a pullback to 85,000 is underestimated.
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RektButAlivevip
· 01-09 11:47
59% of people are waiting here at 95,000. So how will it break through then? Will there be another big sell-off?
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ApyWhisperervip
· 01-09 11:27
26% to reach 100,000 is too low... This data shows that everyone is actually scared and more conservative than expected.
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