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#2026年比特币价格展望 $BTC $ETH $BNB Is the Federal Reserve about to make a big move? The true intention behind a 150 basis point cut in 2026
On Thursday, Eastern Time, Federal Reserve Board member Milan suddenly dropped a bombshell—expecting about a 150 basis point cut in 2026. Once this news broke, traders in the crypto world were stunned.
Why is this so shocking? Throughout 2025, the Fed only cut 75 basis points under strong pressure from Trump, and now in 2026, it's expected to double that? Is this really a sign of massive monetary easing, or is it hinting that the US economy is in trouble?
Milan's explanation sounds pretty firm too. CPI has already approached the 2% target, and without rapid rate cuts, economic recovery might stall. Plus, recent small non-farm payroll data have been declining, and the labor market is clearly weakening. If things don’t improve in the coming months, the Fed will have to deploy its "big weapons" to stimulate the economy.
What does a 150 basis point cut mean? Basically, six consecutive 25 basis point cuts! Such a move indicates that the risks within the US economy can no longer be hidden.
But there's a detail that can't be ignored—Milan was personally appointed to the Fed by Trump in September last year, widely seen as Trump's "mouthpiece" at the Fed. During the rate cuts in October and December last year, he was the only member to oppose, openly stating, "At least 50 basis points are needed; 25 basis points is just messing around."
Looking at it this way, the logic becomes clear. If the Fed Chair in 2026 is truly someone Trump appointed, then a 150 basis point cut probably isn’t just empty talk. What if no change in personnel? Then it might be halved, around 75 basis points for the whole year—still a significant easing.
What do you think? Will the Fed really unleash a "flood-level" rate cut wave in 2026? Or is the US economy actually more dangerous than it appears on paper? Share your thoughts.