Ethereum Braces for Critical Monthly Closure: Will ETH Hold Above $2,890?

The clock is ticking for Ethereum as December draws to a close, and market technicians are increasingly focused on one question—will ETH hold ground above the $2,890 support zone or slip into another red monthly candle? Currently trading around $3,100, Ethereum faces a pivotal moment that could shape trader sentiment heading into 2025.

The $2,890 Support: Last Stand Before Deeper Losses

Ethereum’s price action over recent weeks has been defined by a tight consolidation between clear technical boundaries. The $2,890 level has emerged as the most critical support floor, having provided a bounce point multiple times in recent trading sessions. Losing this zone would not be a minor pullback—it would mark a structural breakdown.

If ETH breaks below $2,890, the next targets come into view rapidly. Support zones sit at $2,630 and $2,400, levels that have historically attracted buying pressure. However, each successive breakdown extends the damage to the broader bullish thesis. Staying above $2,890 is therefore non-negotiable for maintaining the current uptrend narrative.

On the resistance side, ETH continues to test the $3,050 to $3,150 band. This zone has proven sticky, with multiple attempts to break through failing so far. A sustained close above this range could unlock a rally toward $3,650 and potentially even $3,700, but that scenario remains hypothetical until proven on the chart.

Volume and Technicals Paint an Incomplete Picture

Current trading activity shows 24-hour volumes around $388.55 million, with the price range hovering between $3.05K and $3.15K. Over the past week, Ethereum has gained 1.43%, but daily movement remains slightly negative at -0.77%, reflecting the indecision gripping the market.

Technical indicators send mixed messages. The RSI and MACD setup shows early signs of bullish alignment—the kind of configuration that preceded breakouts earlier in 2025. However, without confirmed closes above resistance, these signals remain tentative. Additionally, a CME futures gap near $2,950 adds another layer of complexity; these gaps often get filled before trends resume, making this zone a critical short-term pivot point.

The Monthly Close Gambit: Why December Matters

Here’s where emotion enters the equation. If Ethereum closes December in the red, it would mark the 75th monthly candle of 2025 finishing lower—essentially, three out of every four months have ended negative for ETH holders. That grim statistic encapsulates years of frustration for long-term investors watching network growth fail to translate into price appreciation.

The monthly close therefore carries symbolic weight beyond just technical levels. A red monthly close amplifies bearish sentiment, potentially triggering capitulation or forcing strategic repositioning among traders. Conversely, a green close—even a small one—would reset the psychological narrative and inject renewed bullish conviction.

What Traders Should Watch

The coming days present a clear fork in the road. A breakdown below $2,890 sends Ethereum spiraling toward lower support levels and confirms a bearish monthly finish. A breakout above $3,150 validates the emerging bullish signals and opens the door to accelerating upside.

Until one of these scenarios plays out, Ethereum remains trapped in a zone of maximum uncertainty—the worst place for longer-term directional conviction.

ETH-0.07%
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