With non-farm payroll data about to be released, how important is this employment report? To put it simply, if the data shows strong performance and the economy is doing well, the Federal Reserve has no reason to continue cutting interest rates. Conversely, if the data is weak, expectations for rate cuts will materialize.

The logical chain here is quite clear. What does a rate cut imply? Ample market liquidity. More money means stronger purchasing power, which naturally leads to more funds flowing into various assets, including the crypto market. Historically, when non-farm payroll data is released, BTC's reaction has been very sensitive—either surging sharply or experiencing sharp pullbacks, with the market often fluctuating wildly.

So, the question is: Will 2026 really be a good year? It largely depends on whether the Federal Reserve will ease its policies. If liquidity remains ample throughout the year, it will provide enough support for the entire market. But if economic data continues to be strong and the rate-cutting cycle shrinks, the market's upward momentum will naturally be limited. Therefore, whether the upcoming key data releases can deliver satisfactory results will determine the subsequent pace.