#美国贸易赤字状况 Someone always sees contracts as a casino, calling it a meat grinder. But I want to say, it’s actually just more ruthless towards those who don’t understand the rules.

Have you noticed? The way most people get wiped out in contracts falls into these two patterns—either they get eliminated in one move or they are repeatedly worn down through oscillations, ultimately leading to their exit. People usually blame the market, but is the problem really there?

No, it’s not. The real issue is that you’re using retail trader tactics and forcing your way into the institutional arena.

Let me be clear: making money with contracts isn’t about prediction; it’s about probability sense and execution.

**Liquidity is the guarantee of survival**

The most overlooked rule—only operate in markets with the most liquidity. BTC and ETH are the foundational markets where you can survive. As for altcoins with crazy volatility? Don’t see them as opportunities; they’re traps set by the market specifically for retail traders.

**Shorting**

Many traders tend to buy at the bottom and sell at the top. But if you look at the 4-hour structure, there’s a recurring pattern of getting chopped up: key moving averages are repeatedly broken but not stabilized. It’s not the first breakdown, nor the second; you have to wait for the market to give a “third confirmation” before your win rate truly tilts in your favor.

The logic for going long is exactly the same. Safe long positions are never about chasing highs but about entering during extreme panic when the structure is clearly trending downward. Volume drops, sentiment crashes, indicators fail—these aren’t risk signals; they’re exactly the moments you should act.

**Without risk control, even the right direction is useless**

I set some bottom lines for myself that must not be broken:
If daily losses reach a certain percentage, stop trading—no discussion. All positions must be built gradually, never all at once. Let profitable positions run, and cut losing positions immediately.

The market loves to punish those who “hold through a rebound and then start risking everything.”

**The market rhythm has changed**

Honestly, it’s no longer the era of heavy position chasing in the right direction. We’ve entered a sniping phase—fake breakouts and fake breakdowns are now high-probability trading opportunities. If you’re still trying to find a feel after multiple stop-losses, it’s not that the market isn’t giving you chances; it’s that you’re trading based on emotion.

Whether you can make money in contracts depends not on how brave you are, but on whether you can act decisively when it’s time to act and stop immediately when it’s time to stop. Some details can’t be fully explained here, but if you’re tired of being harvested by the market, maybe it’s time to change your approach.