Everything follows a cycle, and trading is no exception.

Think about it: the four seasons cycle, spring giving way to autumn, and the same principle applies in the crypto world — a bull market comes, and a bear market follows; after enduring the bear market, the bull market will return. Up and down, recurring in a cycle.

The logic of making money is actually very straightforward. Selling ice cream in summer can make money, selling hot milk tea and roasted pears in winter can make money. The same applies in the crypto world. During a bull market, genuine breakouts and trending行情 are abundant, going long is like picking up money; during a bear market, false breakouts and oscillations are frequent, and shorting becomes the opportunity.

But here’s a key point — any method requires the right environment to work. The knowledge in books is useful because it reflects the background of the era in which they were written. In different times, different spaces, and different market environments, the same strategies may become ineffective.

Timing, location, and harmony among people are all indispensable. Trading methods themselves are neither right nor wrong; the question is whether you are using the right timing, finding the right space, and choosing the right environment. That is the most challenging aspect of cognition in trading.