2026-01-10 01:24:01

There's an interesting dislocation happening right now—assets trading at steep discounts relative to recent levels. You could probably nibble at even lower prices, but the risk-reward setup feels pretty favorable at current levels for building positions heading into the final weeks of the month.

Just a week or so back, probability models were showing better than 40% odds of Bitcoin rallying back toward the $100K+ zone by month-end. The technicals are still setting up that way. If you've been waiting for a better entry point, this pullback might be exactly the spot to start averaging in.

BTC-0,11%

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DaoResearcher

· 7h ago

From the data performance, the current discount幅度确实构成了一个有趣的套利窗口. It is worth noting that the probability model shows a success rate of over 40% — which from a Token economics perspective has already reached a tradable threshold. Based on on-chain data and technical analysis, the current building position logic is actually about finding the optimal solution in a game-theoretic equilibrium multi-solution state. Assuming the rebound at the end of the month is valid, then the current average cost optimization is not just a matter of time, but also a practice of incentive compatibility. It is recommended that everyone first clearly calculate their risk preference coefficient before entering, and not be blinded by the 40% probability.

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