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#2026年比特币价格展望 The US unemployment rate just dropped below 4.4%. What does this number mean?
Seemingly ordinary employment data actually hides signals of a shift in monetary policy. Economics has an old rule: rising unemployment usually indicates an economic slowdown, and an economic slowdown will force central banks to release liquidity. This chain is simple and straightforward but has been proven time and again.
How has history played out? Every time the Federal Reserve shifts from tightening to easing, the market's first beneficiaries are never the traditional stock markets but rather risk assets like Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Why? Because after liquidity is released, investors seek high-yield opportunities, and the liquidity characteristics of digital assets and their 24-hour global trading make them the preferred allocation. $ETH, $BTC tend to perform most agilely in such cycles.
Here's a simple logical chain:
Worsening unemployment → Money printing begins → Liquidity becomes abundant → Risk assets revalue → Crypto markets lead the surge
This is not alarmist speculation but a pattern repeatedly validated through multiple financial cycles. Of course, no two opportunities are exactly the same, but the directional trend of cycles can often be grasped.
The water is brewing. Are you ready?